Midtown Lunch

If the government's macroeconomic regulation and control means and aim fundamentally changed, so the situation of the low interest rate policy to continue again is impossible. If the change of the low interest rate policy, for a real estate investor a straw will be the camel's back. Because, for a real estate investor, the interest rate adjustment is its investment cost and benefit analysis of lethal weapon. Because not only is the interest rate affect the real estate market is not a one-off, sudden, but gradually, permeability, hysteresis, and is the interest rate's influence on real estate investment market is not how the results of the present, but how to change the real estate investment market expectations. If the central bank to raise interest rates to become a routine means, so the real estate market investors should not only observe raising interest rates expected changes in the real estate market behavior, but also have to focus on the central bank of the real estate market behavior expectations reflect what possible policy. And it is this chain reflect market expectations, who cannot be underestimated the effect on the real estate market? Look at the real estate market in the United States, in the boom after eight years, the interest of the government policy, not only the national real estate market price decline, and some problems in the real estate market are mostly above the water. Also, raising interest rates investors direct cost impact on the real estate market is huge. You principal, for example, one yuan, interest rate was 5%, compound interest, 30 years later a dollar interest the final value of coefficient of 4.322; Interest rate is 8%, 30 years later a dollar interest the final value of coefficient of 10.062; An interest rate of 10%, 30 years later a dollar interest the final value of coefficient of 17.449. That is to say, when calculating compound interest, when twice as interest rates rise from 5% to 10%, its final value coefficient of interest for more than four times. The simplest example of this is, if you buy a house total price is 1.2 million yuan, the first payment of 200000 yuan, 1 million yuan loan, paid in 30 years, loan interest rate is 10%, your monthly mortgage loans to 8775.70 yuan, 30 years later with gains you always pay 3.32 million yuan, including 2.32 million yuan in interest payments.
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